Highlights:
- Kejriwal’s Resignation: Coincides with Modi’s birthday, raising questions about political timing.
- Potential Successor: Someone loyal to Kejriwal who will oversee the administration under his guidance.
- Sympathy Play: Kejriwal may seek public sympathy by framing his resignation as a stand against political conspiracies.
- Haryana Elections: AAP faces a significant challenge in expanding its influence in Haryana.
- Delhi Election Timing: The sympathy factor may weaken if the elections are delayed too long.
Tomorrow, on 17th September, two major political events will make headlines simultaneously: Narendra Modi’s 74th birthday and Arvind Kejriwal’s resignation as Delhi’s Chief Minister. This raises several intriguing political questions and scenarios:
Will Modi retire from politics at 75?
Is Kejriwal planning his political future post-resignation?
Kejriwal has held his post for nearly six months since his last encounter with the legal system. So why is he choosing to step down now, after being released from jail? And more importantly, who will succeed him as Delhi’s next Chief Minister?
Who Will Be Kejriwal's Successor as CM?
Kejriwal’s successor is likely to be someone loyal and trusted, someone whose capability and dedication he has full faith in. The new Chief Minister will handle administrative duties under Kejriwal’s supervision. This strategy allows Kejriwal to retain control while sending a message to the public before the elections. Kejriwal will likely present his resignation as a response to alleged political conspiracies, claiming that agencies like the CBI and ED were used against him, yet he continued to serve.
Kejriwal's Political Messaging: Moral High Ground & Sympathy
By resigning, Kejriwal can claim he is not attached to power and he prioritizes integrity over greed for office. This narrative would paint him as a political figure with moral standards, hoping to garner public sympathy. However, this bold move could also backfire depending on how the public perceives it.
Challenges Ahead for AAP: Haryana and Delhi Elections
The immediate challenge for AAP lies in the upcoming Haryana elections. Unlike Delhi and Punjab, AAP’s organizational base in Haryana remains weak. This election will be the trial of their strategy and strength in the state.
The timing of Delhi’s Assembly elections also plays a crucial role. Kejriwal is aware that the sympathy generated from his resignation might diminish if elections are delayed too long.
Risks in New CM’s Relationship with LG and the Center
Another potential risk for AAP is the relationship between the new Chief Minister and the Lieutenant Governor (LG), along with the central government. Delhi’s governance model demands cooperation between the state government and the LG, making this a critical factor in how the next Chief Minister will function.
Conclusion:
Kejriwal’s resignation could be a calculated political move aimed at maintaining moral high ground and generating public sympathy ahead of crucial elections. His successor, someone handpicked and trusted by him, will be essential in maintaining control in Delhi. However, both Haryana and Delhi present unique challenges, and the relationship between the new CM and the central government will play a critical role in shaping the future of AAP’s governance in Delhi.
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